Who Is To Win Nigeria

Nigeria is the most populous country in Africa, with over 200 million people, and the largest economy on the continent. As a country with diverse ethnic groups, Nigeria has a history of political instability, economic challenges, and social issues. In this article, we will explore who is likely to win Nigeria's upcoming elections, and what factors may influence the outcome.

Political Landscape

Nigeria operates a federal system of government, with power shared between the federal government and 36 states. The country has a multi-party system, with the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the People's Democratic Party (PDP) as the major political parties. The APC, which currently holds power, won the 2015 general elections, ending 16 years of PDP rule.

The Candidates

The 2023 presidential election promises to be keenly contested, with several high-profile candidates vying for the top job. These candidates include:

1. Atiku Abubakar

Atiku Abubakar, a former Vice President of Nigeria, is one of the leading contenders for the presidency. He is a member of the PDP and contested against President Muhammadu Buhari in the 2019 presidential election, losing by a margin of 3.9 million votes. Atiku is a successful businessman and philanthropist, with interests in several sectors of the economy.

2. Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu, a former Governor of Lagos State and national leader of the APC, is another leading contender for the presidency. He is credited with playing a significant role in the formation and success of the APC, and his political influence extends beyond Lagos State. Tinubu is considered a skilled politician and strategist, with a vast network of supporters across the country.

3. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala is a former Minister of Finance and the first female and African Director-General of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Although she has not declared her intention to run for the presidency, there have been calls for her to do so. Okonjo-Iweala is widely respected for her expertise in economics and finance and has a track record of successfully managing Nigeria's finances during her time as minister.

4. Yemi Osinbajo

Yemi Osinbajo is the current Vice President of Nigeria and a member of the APC. He is a professor of law and was the Attorney-General and Commissioner for Justice of Lagos State before his appointment as Vice President. Osinbajo is seen as a loyal and effective deputy to President Buhari and has been credited with playing a significant role in the success of some of the government's policies.

Factors That May Influence The Outcome

Several factors may influence the outcome of the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria. These factors include:

1. Performance of the Incumbent Government

The performance of the incumbent government is likely to be a significant factor in the outcome of the election. President Buhari's government has faced criticism over its handling of the economy, security, and social issues. However, the government has implemented some policies that have been well received, such as the Social Investment Program and the Anti-Corruption Campaign.

2. Ethnic and Regional Politics

Nigeria is a country with diverse ethnic groups, and regional politics often play a significant role in elections. Candidates who are perceived to have the support of a particular region or ethnic group may have an advantage over others. It is not uncommon for candidates to choose running mates from a different region or ethnic group to boost their chances of winning.

3. Political Alliances

Political alliances may also influence the outcome of the election. The APC and PDP are the major political parties in Nigeria, but smaller parties may form alliances with either of the two to boost their chances of winning. These alliances may also affect the voting patterns of their supporters.

4. Security Concerns

Security is a significant concern in Nigeria, with several regions affected by insurgency, banditry, and other forms of criminality. The government's response to these security challenges may influence the voting patterns of people in affected regions.

5. Youth and Women Participation

The youth and women make up a significant percentage of the population in Nigeria, and their participation in the electoral process may influence the outcome of the election. The government and political parties may need to engage these groups and address their concerns to win their support.

Final Thoughts

Nigeria's 2023 presidential election promises to be keenly contested, with several high-profile candidates vying for the top job. The outcome of the election may have significant implications for the country's political, economic, and social development. While it is difficult to predict who will win the election, several factors, such as the performance of the incumbent government, ethnic and regional politics, political alliances, security concerns, and youth and women participation, may influence the outcome. Ultimately, it is up to the Nigerian people to choose their leaders and shape the future of their country.